The Surprise Nominee Myth
Siobhan Gorman makes a nice point in this long piece
about Bush and the Supreme Court—it's foolish to hope that Bush will nominate a "stealth nominee" who might turn out to be liberal or at least not as conservative as expected, ala David Souter or William Brennan Jr. Stealth nominees simply don't exist, it's a great myth—the "surprise" liberalism of Souter or John Paul Stevens or Anthony Kennedy could've been (and was) easily predicted in advance. The only
way Bush will elect a non-activist or a moderate is if he thinks his political capital will be better spent elsewhere.